RE Increases but Thermal Energy Continues to Dominate

While renewable energy continues to grow, thermal energy will remain the dominant power source. A new report from GlobalData said that the global renewable capacity is estimated to reach 2,055 GW in 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.2% from 2013 to 2030; however, thermal capacity is expected to increase from 3,628 GW in 2013 to 5,833 GW by 2030, at a CAGR of 2.8%. In 2012, it was estimated that more than 70% of India’s power generation came from coal alone, while this accounted for 78% of China’s energy sources in the same year.

Additionally, there has been a global surge in the production of gas, especially shale gas, which is being driven by the discovery of new reserves in the US and the UK. According to GlobalData’s report, the natural gas capacity is expected to rise from approximately 1,416 GW in 2012 to 1,861 GW in 2020, at a CAGR of 3.5%.

Sayani Roy Nath, GlobalData’s analyst covering Power, said: “The increasing use of gas as a source of power generation has positively affected the power sector worldwide. This discovery has not only helped reduce the import dependency of various countries, but also promoted project finance. This is thanks to countries shifting away from coal towards natural gas for power generation, and therefore requiring financing to support the development of natural gas-fired power plants.”

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